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股票投資實戰操作戰典

▉ 股票投資實戰操作戰典 作 者：　廖 錦 椿 ▉ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;當日看盤篇 : <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;一. 開盤後十五分鐘與收盤前十五分鐘的價量變化 : <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘與收盤前十五分鐘的價量變化;國內投資人往往習於 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開收盤前來決定買賣進出之策略,而研判開盤後十五分鐘與收盤前十五分 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;的價量變化,主要係以成交量的變化,買進賣出比數與張數作為參考指標. <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;基本上可以歸納成下列幾點: <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘買進筆數,張數均明顯大於賣出時,因多方氣勢較強,通 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;常開盤都以高盤開出.在此情形之下,若成交量低於一百億元,顯示其係 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;主力刻意拉抬作價,散戶追價意願不足,通常盤勢會再回檔探底,以測試 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;低檔的接手意願強弱與否,因而若面對量價背離時,雖然買盤較強,亦不 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;宜貿然搶高,以免尾盤發生劇烈變化.(一百億為八千點以上水準時所適 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;用) <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘買進筆數,張數均明顯大於賣出時,因多方氣勢較強,通 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;常開盤都以高盤開出.在此情形之下,且成交量大於一百億元,顯示其係 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;買盤力道強勢,換手積極,追漲意願亦強,因而可趁盤勢回檔,逢低承接. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘賣出筆數,張數均明顯大於買進時,因空方氣勢較強,通 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;常需視成交量變化而定,若下跌量縮,顯示殺低力道不強,通常盤勢會作 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;一調整性的反彈,因而若再下跌情形亦同,應可酌量向下分批承接,待漲 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;勢確立再加碼買進. 而另一方面若下跌檔檔巨量,顯是看壞後市之賣盤 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;盡出,若未見強勁買盤湧入,仍以觀望為宜. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘賣出筆數較大而張數卻少於買進時,顯示逢低承接買盤 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;強,可於價跌時嘗試買進,而盤勢走高時則須慎防反壓之釋出. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開盤後十五分鐘買進筆數較大而張數卻大於買進時,若開盤時量少價漲 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;,則不宜追高,而價跌量縮,可考慮酌量承接,但仍不宜追高. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;收盤前十五分鐘價漲量增時,顯示追漲意願轉強,買盤前仆後繼,源源不 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;斷,賣盤悉數獲得消化殆盡,此刻應可選擇強勢股介入,隔日應仍有高價 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;可出.而若價漲量卻不增,可能為主力刻意作價,企圖誘多出貨,此刻觀望 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;為宜,以免誤中圈套. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;收盤前十五分鐘價跌量增時,顯示可能有突發性利空出現,或是投資人不 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;耐久盤,失望性賣壓大舉釋出,引發多殺多的局面,此刻若股價仍處高檔, <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;則可逢高先行調節.而若處低檔,可能已有特定買盤接手,可視情況少量 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;介入.另一方面若價跌量縮,有可能是回檔探底錯或是主力刻意壓低進貨. <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;持股者不必急於殺低求售,反而可考慮加碼攤平. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;價 量 關 係 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;基本原則為: 量比價先行 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;量價背離為反轉訊號 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;量持續擴大為上漲之必要條件 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;價量間之關係 / <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;一.(1)價漲量增:若為漲勢初期,則表示漲勢已成,可逢回買進.若已上漲一段時 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;間,需注意是否有巨量出現,可能為主力出貨,後市宜注意. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2)價漲量跌:若為漲勢初期,則可能僅是曇花一現,還不成氣後.若已上漲一 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;段時間,則需注意:此波行情可能已經到頂,一二日內可能反轉 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;而下. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3)價漲量平:若為漲勢初期,則有可能為曇花一現,還不成氣候.若已上漲一 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;段時間,此波行情可能不會立即反轉,但仍必需密切注意. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;二.(1)價跌量增:若股價原本長期不動,則主力有進貨之可能,宜進場買進,若已 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;上漲一段時間,則表示跌勢已成,後市不可看好. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2)價跌量縮:若股價剛自高檔跌下,則表示跌勢正在進行,正進行探底工作, <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;若已下跌一段時間,且量縮至很小,則底部很快就要浮現,宜 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;密切注意. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3)價跌量平:若股價剛自高檔跌下,則表示跌勢正在進行,正進行探底工作, <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;若已下跌一段,則為初部探底,亦尚不宜介入作買. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;三.(1)價平量增:若為漲勢初期,則表示主力有進貨動作漲勢已成,可逢回買進. <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;若已上漲一段時間,則表示股價暫時受挫,應尚有後可期.若屬 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;跌勢,則可能已止跌回穩,宜進場作買. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2)價平量縮:若屬跌勢,則已價穩量縮,打底完成在即,宜介入作買.若為漲 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;勢初期,則可能此波高點將出現,宜注意後市之發展. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3)價平量平:行情仍屬盤整期間,短期內不宜介入. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;當日最佳買賣點之掌握 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;如何掌握買點/ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(1) 開高走低: 回檔不破開盤時回進,(回檔可掛內盤掛進),等第二波高點 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;突破第一波高點時,可加碼跟進,(以外盤價買進),或少量 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;搶進,(用漲停板市價追買,買到為止),此時第二波可能直 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;上漲停板,或是再回檔,第三波就衝上最高價. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2) 開低走高: 最好是等翻紅超過漲幅１／２時,代表多頭有強烈作價決心 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;,此時回檔若不再翻黑,此時若見跌不下去,即可在昨日收盤 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;價附近掛著等. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3) 底部成形: 突破頸線時回進,無論開高走低,抑或開低走高,只要底部之 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;成型,(ｗ底,三重底,頭肩底,圓型底....等),見量價能夠充 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;份配合時,逢突破距中點頸線壓力時,代表多頭主力抵抗,甚 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;至護盤成功,開始往上拉抬,此時若突破,一定量大勿追,待 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;其回檔時(最好不破頸線)再予以買進,而要注意的一點是: <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;開低走低雖底部成形,但畢竟屬弱勢,最好待其突破頸線,且 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;能翻紅,回檔時亦不再翻黑時,才作買進之動作,否則即有騙 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;線誘多作一逃命波之嫌. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(4) 箱型走勢: (開高走平,開平走平,開低走平),往上突破時跟進,當日股 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;價走勢出現橫盤整理走勢時,最好勿輕言作買,除非作當日 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;沖銷者可反覆高賣低補,橫盤高低差價大時,則可採高出低 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;進法,積少成多藉以獲利,但應特別注意的是: 出現俱量向 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;上突破時,尤其是開高或開平走平,時間又已超過當日交易 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;時間一半時,當出現箱形上緣價,賣出價(外盤)變買進價( <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;內盤)時,此時即可敲外盤跟進或搶進(以市價追).至少應 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;會有一個原箱型差價可賺,而若是開低走平,原則上謹為一 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;弱勢止跌走穩盤,只宜少量介入跟進,試搶反彈,不須大量 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;跟進. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;如何掌握賣點/ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(1) 開低走低: 回檔破前一波低值時搶出,(跌停板殺出),弱勢或有實質利 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;空時,開低走低,反彈無法突破開盤時,甚而反轉向下破第 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;一波低值時,技術性轉弱,就應趕緊市價殺出,若沒來的及 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;殺出,也得趁當日之第二波反彈時,再無法越過高值,又反 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;轉向下時,當機立斷,市價殺出. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2) 開高走低: 若當日二波反彈無法越過當日高值時,若跌破前波低值時, <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;,此時可加碼賣出,有時開低走低,翻紅後,跌幅擴大,此時 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;反彈多無法翻紅(多半平盤附近,就反轉而下),此刻更顯 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;弱更應當作賣,盤中高點反成為擇融卷放空的好時機. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3) 頭部成形: 跌破頸線支撐時,而頭部成型,(Ｍ型,頭肩頂,圓型頂.... <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;等),應作賣,若此刻未賣,也應趁跌破型態,產生調整反彈 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;波上攻至頸線附近失敗之際,而反轉向下時,趕緊作賣,尤 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;其當最後一波調整性反彈至昨日收盤價時,或可少量放空 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;待低檔再予補回,一般以Ｍ頭型型態居多,若右峰較左峰 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;為低之拉高出貨之型態;而有時亦會形成右峰較左峰高的 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;誘多作一逃命波之型態,再反轉急速向下的最為可怕.至 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;於其它之頭型(頭肩頂,圓型頂....等)也都一樣,只要跌破 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;頸線支撐,均須趕緊出脫持股,以免虧損擴大. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(4) 箱型走勢: 往下突破時殺出持股,無論其係開高走平,開平走平,開低 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;走平,當呈現箱型高低震盪時,可於平盤上採低進多高出少 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;之策略;若是在平盤下盤旋時,則宜採低進少,高出多的策 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;略應對.但一旦箱型支撐價不守,即應豪不猶豫地殺出手中 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;持股,若此刻下不了手,於平盤上之箱型整理跌破後,多少 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;還會產生拉回之效果,而此刻反彈,仍過不了原箱形之下緣 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;,表係弱勢,再度反轉而下即成為逃命點. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;▉ 另外利多不漲須賣出以策安全. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;================================================================== <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;個 股 上 漲 與 下 跌 之 研 判 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;================================================================== <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;一.個股股價若多數以外盤成交(賣出價),則表示買盤強於賣盤,股價收紅 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;成份大,反之個股股價若多數以內盤成交(買進價),則表示賣盤強於買 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;盤,股價收黑成份大.(一路買進或賣出,眺空漲停或跌停者例外) <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;二.內盤或外盤同時熄滅,表示有大單敲進或殺出,行情必有劇列波動. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;┌─────┬─────┬───────┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;┌ ├─────┼─────┼───────┤ ┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │ ５０　　│ ５１ │ ５０．５ │ │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ └─────┴─────┴───────┘ │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │內盤上升一檔, <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │表示有大單買進 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ┌─────┬─────┬───────┐ │成交價可能跳為 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 │ │５１．０ 元. <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ├─────┼─────┼───────┤ ┘ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │ ５０．５│ ５１ │ －　－ 　 │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ └─────┴─────┴───────┘ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ 若為另一種變化則為: <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ┌─────┬─────┬───────┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ │ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;└ ├─────┼─────┼───────┤┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ５０ │ ５０．５│ －　－ ││ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;└─────┴─────┴───────┘│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;內盤不動,外盤下跌一檔,則可能有大單賣出, │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;而成為: │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;┌─────┬─────┬───────┐│ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 ││ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;├─────┼─────┼───────┤┘ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ５０ │ ５０．５│ ５０．０ │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;└─────┴─────┴───────┘ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;挑選黑馬股之方法多空均作) <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;┌─────┬─────┬───────┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;├─────┼─────┼───────┤ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ －　－ │ ４１．０│ ４１．５ │ ─ 大戶進貨障眼法 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;└─────┴─────┴───────┘ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;┌─────┬─────┬───────┐ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ 內 盤 │ 外 盤 │ 成 交 價 │ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;├─────┼─────┼───────┤ <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;│ ４０．０ │ －　－ │ ３９．６ │ ─ 大戶在明進暗出 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;└─────┴─────┴───────┘ <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;備註: 內外盤差價超過三檔時,則有一盤會熄燈. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;若個股成交量不斷放大,而價格穩步趨堅時,成交量可依十日均量為準 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;,如ＸＸ股十日均量為３６００張,換算每五分鐘即為１００張,而自九 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;時三十分時,成交量突然由２００張,３００張,５００張,累積跳至 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;１１２００張,而成交價又逐檔上升時,顯示低檔接手有力,如在低檔以 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;外盤成交時,勝算很大. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;======================================================================= <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;洗盤之方式與辨別洗盤抑或出貨之方法 <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;======================================================================= <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;洗盤之方式大致可分為:開高走低,上下震盪,靜止不動,跌停開盤,漲停開盤 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;洗盤抑或出貨之辨別:如於盤中發現下列幾種情形,可能為主力洗盤,否則即為出貨 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(1) 盤中自漲停價位打開時,成交量是否急速放大,尤其自分價成交表可發現若密 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;集成交在漲停價時,就得提高警覺. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(2) 盤中自漲停價位打開後,若跌至平盤附近即出現特定買盤接走,且低檔成交量 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;又顯得特別大時,應屬主力於盤中稍作調節,因而股價在高檔震盪,而尾盤又 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;強力作價拉抬至漲停板時,如非主力調節持股,也應為主力尚未出貨完畢,或 <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;係主力採邊拉邊出之策略. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;(3) 最惡劣的主力出貨情形即為:一路壓低出貨至出清持股為止. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;======================================================================= <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;穿頭與破腳操作法 (盤整期不適用,易追高殺低) <br>
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;======================================================================= <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;穿頭:今日盤中最高價高於昨日最高價. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;破腳:今日盤中最低價低於昨日最低價. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;穿頭作買,破腳作賣,可配合其它技術分析工具,以期掌握整斷之波段行情. <br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;=======================================================================<br>
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&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;如何獲勝？「並沒有什麼特別的」，或許盤後，對盤勢多空的看法，會講得頭頭是道，但隔天一開盤，可能把原先看多看空全拋諸腦後，該作多作空，盤面自然有答案，只是「跟隨趨勢」。有人會參考技術指標，對於贏家來說，所有指標都是「落後指標」，進出必須當機立斷，對贏家來說，對盤勢波動的反應，已經變成一種「本能」。<br>